We’re within the second weekend of Barbenheimer and it doesn’t appear to be slowing down!
Recent off of a document setting weekend that bled over into document setting weekday numbers, Barbie will simply retain the highest spot on the charts with what many are predicting to be a low to mid 50% drop off placing the film between $70-$80 million for its sophomore body. I believe this film has such momentum and fandom, that I don’t suppose it drops that a lot. Final week I underestimated how nicely the film might do by about $47 million, initially it was $40 million, however when the precise numbers got here in, Barbie had crushed its $155 million weekend estimate by a full $7 million, for an official opening weekend take of a document breaking $162 million. So this week I’m going to say Barbie has a drop within the 40% vary and pulls in round $90 million. The one factor that would make that quantity be off could be the lack of the premium screens (comparable to Dolby) at many theaters to make approach for the brand new launch of the week, nonetheless I don’t suppose that new launch can be in these premium screens for very lengthy as I guess theaters are anxious to get Barbie again onto these screens ASAP.
Oppenheimer ought to land in second place as that film will retain its Imax screens, which have been largely bought out throughout the nation all week lengthy. What’s much more spectacular, Barbie’s viewers rating has dipped a bit throughout the week (from a 90% final week to a present 86%…in fact I wouldn’t be shocked if a few of that’s evaluation bombing) whereas Oppenheimer’s viewers rating has solely fallen 1% since final week because it at present sits at a 92%. I believe Oppenheimer may even have a comparatively small drop from its robust opening weekend of simply over $82 million and land with round $50 million. The spectacle of Barbenheimer appears to have labored not only for the epic occasion of all of it, however the truth that each motion pictures are vastly completely different but genuinely good.
Third place will go to the massive new launch of the week Disney’s Haunted Mansion. Proper now monitoring has the movie within the $35 million vary, however justifiably horrible critiques and the truth that it’s coming within the wake of two of the most important motion pictures of the yr, will sink this one and I’d be shocked if it lands over $25 million. I say “justifiably” horrible critiques as a result of the movie at present holds a forty five% on Rotten Tomatoes, and as I noticed the film final evening, I can say, that rating appears little too excessive! It was simply an extremely run of the mill film that had only a few moments that have been even mildly amusing. Thank god they solid Owen Wilson and Danny DeVito or the film would have had zero laughs. I hate to say it as I’m an enormous proponent of seeing motion pictures in theaters, however this one can be a significantly better watch when it hits residence video, particularly round Halloween time. You’ll be able to try Chris Bumbray’s 5/10 evaluation right here.
Rounding out the highest 5 would be the continued success of Sound of Freedom which appears to have its passionate followers persevering with to purchase tickets in droves, together with tickets that aren’t for themselves, resulting in small decreases every week. I assume with Barbie and Sound of Freedom in theaters on the identical time, there really is one thing for everybody on the field workplace!
I additionally count on Mission: Inconceivable- Useless Reckoning Half One to degree off this weekend after its softer than anticipated opening and its extreme second week drop. Once more, these numbers will not be consultant of the standard of the film as it’s fairly glorious, with each critics and audiences having fun with it as nicely (96% on Rotten Tomatoes with a 94% viewers rating.) I believe it’s a good factor that now we have such a crowded market proper now, however it appears that evidently has come on the expense of this very strong film. However this isn’t like a Haunted Mansion the place ready for residence video is okay, Mission: Inconceivable movies are large display screen experiences, so hopefully extra individuals understand that within the coming weeks and get this one to leg out to a good end, with this weekend hopefully hitting not less than $15 million.
The opposite new launch of the week is the A24 horror movie Speak To Me which has seen some successfully creepy advertising and garnered some strong critiques (at present at 95% on Rotten Tomatoes) nonetheless its viewers rating leaves a bit to be desired (at present at a 73%.) Regardless of that advertising, I don’t suppose it has reached sufficient individuals to actually put that large of a dent on the field workplace this weekend and I’d count on it to land someplace close to the underside of the highest ten this weekend with round $3-$4 million.
Do you intend on hitting theaters this weekend? Tell us what you intend on testing within the feedback and don’t overlook to test again with us on Saturday when now we have a quick replace on the place this weekend’s field workplace numbers are heading.
TOP FIVE PREDICTIONS
- Barbie– $90 Million
- Oppenheimer– $50 Million
- Disney’s Haunted Mansion– $25 Million
- Sound of Freedom– $16 Million
- Mission: Inconceivable- Useless Reckoning Half One– $15 Million